This is a piece by a Maryland political commentator. He's "plugged into" Maryland Democratic politics and has a decent understanding of what goes on. However, he doesn't get the Black sde of Maryland politics very well, IMO.
But this piece about the senate race to replace Sarbanes is good for some thought:
Here’s the deal: The hypothetical match-up between Kwiesi Mfume and Lt. Gov. Michael Steele comes down to this: Voters will get to choose between a man in a dashiki with six illegitimate sons and an ex-seminarian who goes to mass every Sunday with his wife and kids.But Senate race 2006 is unlikely to produce such a contrast between the two black candidates. And the reason is that Rep. Benjamin L. Cardin will likely spoil the equation.
Assume that’s the case, and Mfume’s a loser either way – to Cardin in the primary election, or to Steele in the general. Assume further that in a Cardin-Steele face-off, Cardin will carry the election for the Democrats and retain the seat of Sen. Paul Sarbanes.And if Cardin tip-toes into the fray, as is his cogito, ergo sum approach to politics, he’s likely to squeeze out other Democrats as well.
The new paradigm in politics is the so-called 527 committee, i.e., Swift Boat Veterans, that operate as vigilante groups outside the margins of formal campaigns. Consider how the Swift Boat Vets bludgeoned John Kerry and think, for a moment, how a similar shadow group will decapitate Mfume.To be sure, Mfume packs a ton of baggage leftover from his incendiary past and his louche life as a wastrel youth, just the right stuff for slice-and-dice attack television ads. To his everlasting credit, though, Mfume picked himself up, dusted himself off and went on to become virtually the president of black America as head of the NAACP.
Is that what you are referring to the black side of Maryland politics
No. I've heard him say things about Maryland Black politics that is way off base.
Posted by: EBrown at March 29, 2005 10:09 PM
There's an assumption by the writer that Blacks will not come out in the primary to vote. Is that what you are referring to the black side of Maryland politics?
Unless Mfume gets the fire in the belly and comes out loudly for the Black vote during the primary, the Cardin scenario may come true.
One of the arguments against Mfume is his youthful mistakes which Blacks may forgive but the white base of the party may not.
Someone like Wynn or Cummings have less baggage (I think) but are less known throughout the state. Has Cummings officially withdrawn from the race? I don't know how Cummings communicates publicly but Wynn appears adrift in public, IMO.
This is the dilemma Steele faces. In a Mfume-Steele race, Steele's pro-life stance will be made front and center. Cardin will have a harder time slinging mud at Steele (it would look more like race politics). With a Steele-Cardin showdown, Steele could pull enough black votes from the Democrats to win. No matter the Democratic challenger, Steele is the best candidate the Republicans have to date.
Posted by: eg at March 29, 2005 10:58 AM